World Cup Tips — Wednesday’s R32 Trio
Available in USEngland (1.26) and the USA (1.36) are short favourites, Belgium-Senegal (2.15 / 3.10 / 3.60) is the day’s tightest line. Three R32 ties, three AEST kickoffs, all live and free on SBS.
The R32 keeps rolling. Three ties land in the Wednesday AEST window — one in the early hours, one at breakfast, one mid-morning — and each brings its own storyline: Tuchel’s unbeaten England v DR Congo’s first-ever knockout tie, a high-quality Belgium v Senegal, and a wounded USA under Pochettino hosting Bosnia. Here are the prices, the team news and our pick for each.
The card at a glance
| Match | Decimal (1 / X / 2) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| England v DR Congo | 1.26 / 5.40 / 14.00 | England -1 line / Kane anytime |
| Belgium v Senegal | 2.15 / 3.10 / 3.60 | Belgium win + under 3.5 |
| USA v Bosnia-Herzegovina | 1.36 / 5.00 / 9.00 | USA win to nil |
1X2 decimal odds, source: FanDuel via FOX Sports, 30 Jun 2026. Implied probability before margin.
England v DR Congo — 2:00 AM AEST
England topped Group L with 7 pts and are unbeaten under Tuchel in 11 competitive games (W10 D1). DR Congo are through as a best-third qualifier and play their first-ever World Cup knockout tie. The market has them at 14.00 — the longest price of the day, and rightly so.
| Team | Likely shape | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| England | 4-2-3-1 | Kane up top; Madueke / Rogers wide; Spence starts at RB (Reece James OUT) |
| DR Congo | 4-3-3 | Bakambu or Epenza leading the line; shut-down defensive shape |
Team news: Reece James OUT (hamstring), Tino Livramento OUT (tournament), Jarell Quansah DOUBTFUL (ankle), Declan Rice back in contention. DR Congo: no injuries/suspensions reported.
Our pick: England -1 on the line at any + money is the right expression of the gap in class. Kane anytime is the standalone value angle — a captain in this form, still extending a national record, against a DR Congo side that has never played on this stage.
Belgium v Senegal — 6:00 AM AEST
The day’s most competitive line. Belgium topped Group G with 5 pts and the 5-1 New Zealand win made them the first European side since England in 1990 to top a WC group after failing to win either of their first two games. Senegal finished third in Group I behind France and Norway, with a 5-0 Iraq win in there but a defeat to Norway to close.
| Team | Likely shape | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 3-4-2-1 | De Bruyne the creative fulcrum (1 goal + 3 assists in group); Trossard wide |
| Senegal | 4-2-3-1 | Mendy DOUBTFUL (left knee, medial ligament); Mané/Sarr/Diaé in attack |
Our pick: Belgium win + under 3.5 goals is the cleanest ticket. The 2.15 is short but justified by squad depth. A Senegal draw-no-bet offers nothing on the price. The 3.10 the draw is the contrarian play if you fancy a tight game and a Senegalese first goal.
USA v Bosnia-Herzegovina — 10:00 AM AEST
The co-hosts won Group D ahead of the Socceroos, took 6 pts and lost only to Turkey in the closer. Bosnia & Herzegovina make their maiden knockout-stage appearance after a best-third run. Pochettino’s press-conference tone has been prickly — he made the point that no one congratulated the USA on topping the group.
"At the moment, no one congratulated us for finishing first in a very difficult group." — Mauricio Pochettino, USA head coach (AOL, 30 Jun 2026)
| Team | Likely shape | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| USA | 4-2-3-1 | Pulisic the No. 10; McKennie / Adams in midfield; Roldan/McKenzie/Trusty rated questionable |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4-3-3 | Muharemović AVAILABLE (suspension served); Džeko / Demirović up top |
Our pick: USA win to nil is the most playable angle on a one-sided line. Pulisic anytime is the value rider — the creative fulcrum, on home soil, against a side conceding in three of three group games.
- Three R32 ties — all live and free on SBS / SBS On Demand.
- Best straight pick: England -1 line and Kane anytime (extending his WC record).
- Best squad-depth pick: Belgium win + under 3.5 (tightest line of the day).
- Best longshot fixture: USA win to nil (co-hosts, home crowd, Pulisic creative fulcrum).
Next up: our Socceroos v Egypt R32 odds now that the line is posted, the live winner odds board after the R32 upset run, and the knockout bracket as it forms.
