Brazil vs Scotland — Group C Showdown in Miami

Updated July 2026
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Brazil chase top spot, Scotland fight to survive — kickoff 8:00 AM AEST in the Miami heat.

Matchday 3 in Group C pits a Brazil side hunting the group win against a Scotland team that must win to climb out of third. Add Miami’s heat, Neymar’s return and Raphinha’s absence and there is plenty for the early-rising punter to chew on. Kickoff is 8:00 AM AEST on 25 June, live and free on SBS.

Brazil and Scotland flags beside a World Cup match ball on a sunlit stadium pitch
Brazil v Scotland at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens — 8:00 AM AEST (25 Jun).
Kickoff (AEST) 8:00 AM, 25 Jun
Venue Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Conditions Hot & humid, heat index ~39°C

The odds

Outcome Decimal Implied
Brazil 1.39 ~72%
Draw 5.25 ~19%
Scotland 9.50 ~11%

1X2 decimal odds, media-reported (BetMGM/Racing Post), as of 23 Jun 2026. Implied probability before margin.

The Group C picture

Team P GD Pts
Brazil 2 +3 4
Morocco 2 +1 4
Scotland 2 0 3
Haiti 2 −4 0

Source: Wikipedia (Group C), as of 23 Jun 2026. Morocco v Haiti kicks off simultaneously.

Brazil (4 points) need a win to be sure of top spot; level with Morocco, goal difference could decide first place. Scotland (3 points) sit third and almost certainly must win to progress — a tall order against the Seleção.

Team news swings it

Brazil get a lift with Neymar returning after a calf problem kept him out of the first two games, but lose Raphinha to a hamstring injury picked up against Haiti. Scotland have their own worries, with Hickey and McKenna both doubts after missing the Morocco loss. The Miami heat — a heat index around 39°C with an afternoon storm risk — could sap legs late and invite a tiring-game goal.

The local angle

This one is kinder on the alarm clock: 8:00 AM AEST is a breakfast kickoff, and like every match it streams live and free on SBS and SBS On Demand. A Brazil side with Neymar back is appointment viewing for the neutral, and Group C could still be settled on goal difference — so the Morocco v Haiti game running alongside is worth a second screen.

Our pick

Brazil at 1.39 is short but deserved; the value is in the manner of victory. With Neymar back and Scotland forced to chase the game, Brazil −1 on the line (handicap) or over 2.5 goals are the more rewarding angles than the straight win. Scotland’s 9.50 is strictly for the brave.

Example: A $25 punt on Brazil at 1.39 returns $34.75 (a $9.75 profit). Stepping up to over 2.5 goals at a bigger price is where the value sits if you expect Brazil to push for the group win.
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  • Brazil (1.39) chase the group win; Scotland (9.50) likely must win to survive.
  • Neymar returns for Brazil; Raphinha is out with a hamstring injury.
  • Miami heat (index ~39°C) could open the game up late.
  • Value angles: Brazil line-betting or over 2.5 goals rather than the short win.
What time is Brazil v Scotland in Australia?
8:00 AM AEST on 25 June, live and free on SBS and SBS On Demand.
Is Neymar playing?
He is back in contention after a calf injury; Raphinha, however, is ruled out with a hamstring problem.
Can Scotland still qualify?
They sit third and realistically need to beat Brazil to have a strong chance of advancing.

More: all World Cup 2026 teams, the Brazil team profile, the Group C guide, today’s matchday tips, and live winner odds.